Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.132144 0.156403 0.183515 0.216009 0.253848 0.296466 0.348056
2025-01-05 0.093805 0.124823 0.163363 0.214552 0.280519 0.362409 0.471487
2025-01-12 0.070185 0.102560 0.146313 0.209303 0.297114 0.414550 0.582738
2025-01-19 0.054493 0.086214 0.132233 0.203098 0.308523 0.458388 0.686055
2025-01-26 0.046109 0.078124 0.127479 0.207962 0.334452 0.523693 0.825631
2025-02-02 0.039391 0.071028 0.122555 0.211016 0.357012 0.585554 0.966290
2025-02-09 0.033734 0.064453 0.117096 0.211853 0.375395 0.642152 1.104252
2025-02-16 0.029510 0.059501 0.113374 0.214665 0.396784 0.705175 1.258637
2025-02-23 0.026753 0.056690 0.112839 0.222701 0.427715 0.786833 1.452200
2025-03-02 0.022632 0.050453 0.104982 0.216062 0.431262 0.821235 1.567128
2025-03-09 0.019933 0.046586 0.100998 0.216040 0.446714 0.877895 1.726841
2025-03-16 0.017338 0.042448 0.095803 0.212779 0.455296 0.922417 1.868160
2025-03-23 0.015786 0.040410 0.094770 0.218137 0.482125 1.005194 2.092374
2025-03-30 0.013875 0.037188 0.090714 0.216551 0.494636 1.061669 2.271897
2025-04-06 0.011982 0.033633 0.085333 0.211232 0.498486 1.101056 2.421172
2025-04-13 0.010312 0.030300 0.079911 0.204968 0.499343 1.134116 2.560463
2025-04-20 0.009496 0.029058 0.079304 0.209873 0.525763 1.223562 2.826564
2025-04-27 0.008676 0.027640 0.078027 0.212953 0.548282 1.306715 3.086990
2025-05-04 0.007845 0.026023 0.075980 0.213797 0.565553 1.379877 3.332326
2025-05-11 0.007192 0.024800 0.074779 0.216633 0.587964 1.466775 3.616494
2025-05-18 0.006805 0.024319 0.075535 0.224738 0.624448 1.589634 3.994080
2025-05-25 0.005937 0.022115 0.071074 0.218042 0.622329 1.621232 4.161876
2025-06-01 0.005387 0.020843 0.069112 0.218020 0.637619 1.696134 4.439376